Pamoja or Power Play? The Germany & Kenya Migration Agreement

16th August, 2025
Rufruf Chaudhary

In a world where migration debates often teeter between crisis and control, Germany and Kenya signed a migration agreement in September 2024. The agreement has been hailed as a win-win solution promising new opportunities for Kenya’s youth and relief for the labor market situation in Germany.

The agreement allows legal migration pathways for Kenyan skilled workers, trainers, and students to Germany. In exchange, Kenya agrees to facilitate the repatriation of Kenyan nationals, including those with expired documents, using biometric verification. Prima facie, the agreement can help ease the growing migration crisis by replacing chaos with coordination between states, as it offers legal and mutually agreed alternatives for both. The pact aligns with the national interests on both sides and highlights cooperation, information exchange (labor mobility), and shared benefits that can serve as a model for ethical, regulated, and mutually beneficial mobility frameworks. From a liberal institutionalist perspective, the agreement reflects how a cooperative framework can be established to address and manage issues like migration. But at the same time, from a realist lens, both states are also pursuing their national interests to solve their domestic issues. However, the question remains: who truly benefits and at what cost?

Germany’s urgency and motivation to secure foreign labor are underpinned by the looming labor crisis and structural workforce challenges. As of early 2025, 28.3% of German companies still report difficulties in finding qualified personnel, a clear reflection of the current demographic pressures driven by an aging population. In this context, the government’s target of attracting skilled immigrants appears less as a gesture of goodwill towards Kenya and more of an economic imperative by using migration diplomacy to channel, control, and depoliticize immigration amidst the domestic political pressures around the subject area. Germany has previously signed similar agreements with India, Colombia, Morocco, and Uzbekistan each tailored to specific labor and return cooperation needs.

Kenya, however, is not an accidental choice; rather, it represents more than just numbers, which is the strategic deepening of this policy. Kenya is the first sub-Saharan African country to enter into such a comprehensive partnership. Its selection reflects a unique confluence of factors ranging from a young, surplus labor force and a demonstrated willingness to cooperate on return procedures using biometric identification. Kenya is also the first sub-Saharan African country to formally agree to identify its nationals for repatriation using biometric data, as well as accept expired identity documents to streamline returns. This can be billed as a milestone in migration policy because such cooperation is a rarity, especially in cases where citizens abroad send remittances to the home country. However, this, by some can also be considered to reflect power imbalances and negotiating power between Germany and Kenya.

Moreover, this cooperation can break down barriers that often stall the deportation processes and enhance the legal enforceability of returns. It can be said that Kenya serves as a pilot case for Germany expanding the migration framework across the African continent.

On the other side of the coin, Kenya’s population is notably youthful, comprising of about 75% being under the age of 35% and 67% of the youth between the ages of 15 and 34 are unemployed or underemployed. The high cost of living and the struggle of finding formal employment for the majority of the population is deemed to create a politically volatile environment. This means that a majority of young Kenyans are unemployed, without prospects. President Ruto’s strategic use of this agreement serves as a stepping-stone to facilitate outward mobility and create practical outlets for the disgruntled youth and ease domestic tensions.

However, concerns about a potential “brain drain” from Kenya are feared and persistent under the migration agreement. Based on the post-colonial critique, the migration is the extraction of skilled labor from the Global South for the aging economies of the North, risking Kenya to bear more of the socio-political risk of a public backlash over jobs being exported instead of being created locally. To mitigate such an occurrence, the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (KAS) Country Report on the Germany and Kenya migration agreement makes clear that a Joint Commission has been established to evaluate which professions are deemed strategically essential to Kenya and therefore excluded from the migration scheme. It is deemed essential to not lose oversight of the likelihood and occurrence of such risk to reassure the stakeholders that the agreement is not designed to deplete Kenya’s vital workforce and is a partnership based on a win-win.

Moreover, evidence shows that a significant share of immigrants in Germany consider leaving due to discrimination. A 2025 Forbes analysis revealed that many immigrants cite racial or ethnic bias as a reason for contemplating departure, which reinforces the concerns of social exclusion and discrimination. As a result, Germany must ensure inclusive, anti-discriminatory policies and support systems are implemented to protect migrants. Without these safeguards, focusing solely on the legal implementation of the agreement risks undermining the humanitarian intent of the agreement.

It would be quite right to suggest that the Germany-Kenya migration agreement is undeniably a landmark in bilateral migration diplomacy, but beneath the surface of this cooperation lies a more complex interplay of power, politics, and long-term consequences. If this agreement proves successful, it can push both countries to go beyond and transcend further into a sustainable partnership with broader social, economic, and human considerations. Ultimately, whether “Pamoja” (togetherness) is just a motto or is a principle reflected in tangible and equitable outcomes is something only time will tell.

Photo Credits: Metin Özer / Unsplash

Teilen

Nach oben scrollen

Wir verwenden Cookies, um dir das bestmögliche Nutzererlebnis zu bieten. Darüber hinaus nutzen wir Google Analytics, um die Nutzung unserer Website zu analysieren und zu verbessern. Deine Daten werden dabei anonymisiert verarbeitet. Du kannst der Verwendung von Google Analytics jederzeit zustimmen oder sie ablehnen. Weitere Informationen findest du in unserer Datenschutzerklärung.